3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
918 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,314/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$397
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$-145/mo
Annual
$-1,739/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.14%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (17.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#456 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Galena Park El (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 597 students, 88% FRL); Galena Park Middle (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 943 students, 88% FRL); Galena Park H S (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #924 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,914 students, 87% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.1% in Galena Park — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-597FB05SK2D1YQ
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29