3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,348 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,931/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-351/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-351/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#72 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hamilton E. Holmes Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 538 students, 100% FRL); Paul D. West Middle School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 803 students, 100% FRL); Tri-Cities High School (math 5% / reading 30%, grade F, #264 of 424 statewide, top 63%, 1,483 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-35 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $64k; list at $225k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29