2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
248 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Other
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$71
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$377/mo
Annual
$4,525/yr
Cap rate
15.36%
Cash-on-cash
32.39%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,166 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Northern Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #430 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $21k; list at $50k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5A9SPD9MBMKNXZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29