3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,766 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$-34/mo
Annual
$-408/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.45%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-408/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $320k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (13.8% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $280k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#227 in IL, #4,227 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Chsd 155 (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #98 of 620 in IL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).
McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Cary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5ASVEW7DA1H5ZX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29