3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$598
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-389/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-389/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $324k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $285k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#27 in PA, #158 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+.
Centennial SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #285 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $244k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Hatboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5BV3AK4GZ4MFS0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29