3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,540 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,839/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$386
Net cashflow
$197/mo
Annual
$2,369/yr
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.70%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#196 in TX, #4,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Hawkins ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #339 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hawkins El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 383 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5CEPSS8GYX4HGN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29