3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,074 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,326
Tax + insurance
−$1,236
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,181
Net cashflow
$-1,121/mo
Annual
$-13,457/yr
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.83%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$231,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $825k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $627k (24.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $562k (31.9% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $562k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Rye Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #40 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: F E Bellows Elementary School (math 76% / reading 80%, grade A, #239 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 347 students, 13% FRL); Rye Neck Middle School (math 73% / reading 83%, grade A+, #37 of 729 statewide, top 5%, 351 students, 16% FRL); Rye Neck Senior High School (math 98% / reading 98%, grade A+, #19 of 1,100 statewide, top 4%, 515 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,622/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5CEY49F9M1RG6J
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29