None bd · None ba ·
2,956 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,963
Tax + insurance
−$942
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$814
Net cashflow
$-844/mo
Annual
$-10,130/yr
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.40%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$158,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $565k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-844 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-422/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $443k (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $387k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($548k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $387k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $60k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $56k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$97k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,874/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 434% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5CSMEM3WG6R4T6
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29