3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,960 sqft ·
Built 2009
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$204
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$-150/mo
Annual
$-1,796/yr
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.17%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (31.3% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#438 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,027/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5D09WWDC3TV5AE
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29