2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$945/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$438/mo
Annual
$5,255/yr
Cap rate
16.80%
Cash-on-cash
37.54%
DSCR
2.67
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($945 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#60 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sulphur (town): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #56 of 270 in OK (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sulphur Es (419 students, 0% FRL); Sulphur Hs (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #67 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 436 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Murray County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.4% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29