2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,379 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$-228/mo
Annual
$-2,739/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (16.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (24.9% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $188k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spring Hill Elementary School (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 655 students, 63% FRL); Bennett'S Mill Middle School (math 24% / reading 51%, grade F, #162 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 891 students, 53% FRL); Fayette County High School (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #149 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,368 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 21% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 378 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $170k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in Fayetteville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5DR8DP5C7MY7YG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29