406 Southard Pl

South Roxana, IL 62087

$82,000B-

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,152 sqft · Built 1964 · MultiFamily · Active · 51 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $988/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$430
• Tax + insurance: −$158
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$207
• Net cashflow: $192/mo
• Annual: $2,308/yr
• Cap rate: 9.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.05%
• DSCR: 1.45
• 1% rule: 1.20%
• Cash to close: $22,960

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $82k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $82k).
• It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,141 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Roxana CUSD 1 (suburban): math 18% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #440 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Roxana Sr High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #511 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 515 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.