2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2014
· Manufactured
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$147
HOA
−$355
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-184/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-184/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $37k (6.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $211 of equity ($276 loan paydown + $-65 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; HOA is 40% of rent.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5FFQVA20455K70
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29