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110 Country Garden Estates Dr
D+ Composite 48.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$39,900

110 Country Garden Estates Dr · East Franklin, PA 16262
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured · 44 Days on market
Built 2014 4,356 sqft lot $355/mo HOA · 40% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well - maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home offering comfort, convenience and exceptional value. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers or anyone seeking an affordable lifestyle without sacrificing charm. Step inside the bright and inviting 3 season room that leads to a warm and welcoming living area. The open layout flows into the well equipped kitchen that includes all appliances, ample cabinet space and room for casual dining. Both bedrooms feature ample closet space. The full bathroom is complete with included washer and dryer. The yard features country views and a private shed. There is also a carport area with dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Conveniently l

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2014

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee of $355 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Two total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.1 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (12x12); Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (9x12 and 12x12)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-184/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $37k (6.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $211 of equity ($276 loan paydown + $-65 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; HOA is 40% of rent.
Recommended offer $37,192 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-2,167
Equity at exit
$11,262
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$2,891
Equity at exit
$13,283

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16262

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$880 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,561/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$355
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $37,192
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$355 · $4,260/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $39,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $42,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $45,000 Active 842-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,561 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,561 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,566
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,561
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$845
− Management
−$845
− HOA
−$4,260
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable loss
−$540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$130
After-tax cash flow
$-54/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Armstrong SD
NCES district ID
4202590
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,333
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3729
State rank
#233 of 539 in PA

Livability — East Franklin

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,811

Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,513 people
By 2030
59,579 · -4.7%
By 2040
52,890 · -15.4%
By 2050
45,904 · -26.6%
By 2075
32,023 · -48.8%
By 2100
20,415 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.16%
Current HPI
157.0474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $42,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $45,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,561 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…