4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,072 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,426/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$168/mo
Annual
$2,020/yr
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.81%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.9% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sault Ste. Marie Area Schools (town): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #230 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sault Area Middle School (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 533 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chippewa County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in Sault Ste. Marie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5FHD2X4F4JEE57
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29