15 bd · 12.0 ba ·
4,896 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$643
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,062
Net cashflow
$2,671/mo
Annual
$32,049/yr
Cap rate
34.91%
Cash-on-cash
102.19%
DSCR
5.55
1% rule
3.89%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $890/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,057/mo this rent would consume 143% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 545% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen cabinets are visibly damaged and need to be replaced.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures are in poor condition and need to be replaced.
Major: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement.
Major: Windows
— The windows are in poor condition and need to be replaced or repaired.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5FKDC3BECS2E3C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29