14 bd · 10.0 ba ·
6,863 sqft ·
Built 1965
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 146 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$29,358/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$11,694
Tax + insurance
−$1,651
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,165
Net cashflow
$9,848/mo
Annual
$118,175/yr
Cap rate
11.59%
Cash-on-cash
18.93%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$624,400
Investor read
This is a 10 × 15-bed/10.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.23M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($118k/yr) — positive. Per door: $985/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $2.23M).
It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.96M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.96M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $67k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bridge Street Elementary (188 students, 97% FRL); Hollenbeck Middle (1,007 students, 95% FRL); Theodore Roosevelt Senior High (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #788 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 1,528 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 67% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Los Angeles Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $423k; list at $2.23M implies a 427% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $624k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-5GTAJFB20YQ1D9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29