7 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,295 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 131 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$908
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,118
Net cashflow
$1,487/mo
Annual
$17,849/yr
Cap rate
11.47%
Cash-on-cash
18.48%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $345k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $496/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).
It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Newburgh Free Academy (math 76% / reading 85%, grade A, #506 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 3,433 students, 56% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newburgh City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 565 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $260k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.0% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen appears cluttered and in need of cleaning and organization.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathrooms are cluttered and disorganized, with visible signs of wear and tear.
Major: Roof
— The satellite image shows a worn-out roof, and the interior photos suggest potential water damage.
Major: Exterior siding
— The exterior shows signs of wear and tear, with overgrown vegetation and debris.
Major: Flooring
— The carpet in the living room and bedroom is worn-out and stained.
Major: Paint
— The painted walls have visible cracks and peeling in some areas.
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