1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 468 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$362
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,684
Net cashflow
$4,741/mo
Annual
$56,893/yr
Cap rate
30.50%
Cash-on-cash
86.46%
DSCR
4.85
1% rule
3.41%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $235k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($57k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 468 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mcgowen El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 385 students, 99% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 504 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 468 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be old and weathered, with visible signs of wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is peeling and the paint is chipping, indicating significant wear.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible signs of maintenance or functionality.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping appears overgrown and unkempt, with no visible curb appeal.
Major: fencing
— The fencing is in poor condition and appears to be falling apart. The overall lot geometry and parking suggest a lack of maintenance and organization.
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· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29