6 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,791 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,019/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$502
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$634
Net cashflow
$48/mo
Annual
$575/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.59%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$97,972
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($575/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $302k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#183 in PA, #1,542 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Avon Grove SD (suburban): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #63 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Avon Grove Intrmd Sch (math 48% / reading 58%, grade C, #571 of 1,518 statewide, top 38%, 1,457 students, 32% FRL); Fred S Engle Ms (math 49% / reading 69%, grade B, #50 of 512 statewide, top 10%, 819 students, 30% FRL); Avon Grove Hs (math 80% / reading 24%, grade C-, #112 of 437 statewide, top 26%, 1,747 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.8% in West Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5K1KC5ADPMWJQ3
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29