4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,679 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-345/mo
Annual
$-4,139/yr
Cap rate
4.45%
Cash-on-cash
-6.57%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-345 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (27.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (45.5% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (45.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#500 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Colbert County (rural): math 13% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #90 of 129 in AL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hatton Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 242 students, 72% FRL); Colbert County High School (math 5% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 455 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $160k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5K3PK38HER36EA
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29