3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,001 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$515
Net cashflow
$218/mo
Annual
$2,616/yr
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.17%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (16.8% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $245k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#211 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dacula Elementary School (math 46% / reading 42%, grade F, #356 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 1,188 students, 56% FRL); Dacula Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #162 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 58% FRL); Dacula High School (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #325 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 2,498 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 643 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.1% in Dacula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5KVDJ3AP23XHJ8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29