4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,504 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$368
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$-48/mo
Annual
$-582/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-582/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (7.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $111k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $512 of equity ($829 loan paydown + $-317 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#344 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Medina Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #548 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clifford Wise Intermediate School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,821 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 395 students, 55% FRL); Medina Junior-Senior High School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 614 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5M8ZED5KY5JR1V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29