3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,530 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,514/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,966
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$318
Net cashflow
$-1,019/mo
Annual
$-12,224/yr
Cap rate
3.03%
Cash-on-cash
-11.65%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.40%
Cash to close
$104,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (48.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (59.6% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (59.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $174k; list at $375k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5NAM1999439P39
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29