2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,772/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,793
Tax + insurance
−$570
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$-963/mo
Annual
$-11,559/yr
Cap rate
2.91%
Cash-on-cash
-12.07%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$95,747
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $201k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-963 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in WY, #947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Anderson Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #30 of 151 statewide, top 26%, 327 students, 30% FRL); Carey Junior High School (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D+, #39 of 55 statewide, top 70%, 861 students, 38% FRL); East High School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #46 of 75 statewide, top 61%, 1,513 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-5NJCMH550CEX6K
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29