3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,414 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,509/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$75/mo
Annual
$896/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($896/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (20.2% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#199 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Good Hope Primary School (425 students, 63% FRL); Good Hope Middle School (math 19% / reading 54%, grade F, #76 of 257 statewide, top 31%, 386 students, 62% FRL); Good Hope High School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 443 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.1% in Good Hope — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5NTK2R7VQSS9ZW
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29