230 N Morgan St

Russellville, KY 42276

$35,000B-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,184 sqft · Built 1930 · Other · Pending · 15 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,144/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax + insurance: −$461
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$240
• Net cashflow: $259/mo
• Annual: $3,102/yr
• Cap rate: 29.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 83.88%
• DSCR: 4.73
• 1% rule: 3.27%
• Cash to close: $9,800

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $35k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#273 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Russellville Independent (town): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #143 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: R E Stevenson Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 481 students, 80% FRL); Russellville High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #40 of 254 statewide, top 19%, 335 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 59% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 29.8% vs local median 2.8% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.