230 N Morgan St · Russellville, KY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
214, 224, and 230 N Morgan St are being sold as-is! Seller prefers for them to be sold together for $105,000 but will entertain offers to sell separately. Will require cash or Hard Money Lender financing. Please schedule a tour before entering the property. Please reach out with any questions!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $243 annual tax amount
Exterior
- Parking: No covered parking reported; No parking spaces reported
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Construction materials: Other; Year built: Approximate
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres (calculated from plat)
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); No cooling
- Interior features: No basement; Other flooring
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.8% vs local median 2.8% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#273 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Russellville Independent (town): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #143 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: R E Stevenson Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 481 students, 80% FRL); Russellville High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #40 of 254 statewide, top 19%, 335 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 59% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.88%
- DSCR
- 4.73
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $11,059
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $31,907
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42276
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,144 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $243/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 W 9th St Russellville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 923 W 9th St Russellville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-04$35,000 Active 294-char remark
-
2018-09-21soldstatus $28,000
-
2018-09-21soldstatus $47,000
-
2015-10-01soldstatus $17,000
-
2003-08-21soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $243 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $301 · $25/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 24.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$243
- − Insurance
- −$5,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,098
- − Management
- −$1,098
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $3,012
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$723
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Russellville Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105190
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,861
- Composite
- 21.24/100
- National rank
- #8402
- State rank
- #143 of 165 in KY
Livability — Russellville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #13256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Russellville, KY
- County
- Logan County · 16,044 people
- City population
- 16,044
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,044
- Household income
- $57,144
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 330.0
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,133 people
- By 2030
- 25,572 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 24,247 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 22,849 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 19,587 · -25.0%
- By 2100
- 15,927 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 21.9% · R 76.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.6pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.71%
- Current HPI
- 269.3374
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+214.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $94,300 Public Records
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $31,434 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $35,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $243 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…