3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,519 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$149/mo
Annual
$1,791/yr
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
4.00%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#63 in KY, #1,246 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F.
Kenton County (suburban): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #14 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $116k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5R89G1674CBH62
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29