3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,173 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-915/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.11%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-915/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (31.5% below list).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#108 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Prentiss County School District (rural): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #44 of 130 in MS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hills Chapel School (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #130 of 375 statewide, top 35%, 424 students, 99% FRL); New Site High School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #10 of 197 statewide, top 5%, 254 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 59% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Prentiss County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prentiss County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5SVPAP9ZS043QQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29