3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,372 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 187 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,292/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$362
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$481
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-555/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-555/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (19.6% below list).
It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in OK, #557 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Norman (suburban): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #61 of 270 in OK (top 23%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jackson Es (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 410 students, 0% FRL); Norman Hs (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #46 of 447 statewide, top 10%, 2,137 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $285k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Norman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,292/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5V15BG7D2YAFTQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29