5 bd · 5.5 ba ·
3,045 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Land
· Active
· 222 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$291/mo
Annual
$3,490/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.42%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/5.5-bath land listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (10.2% below list).
It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#322 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Leo E. Kerner Jr. Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #201 of 646 statewide, top 33%, 403 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 70% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 29% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jefferson Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
10 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $230k implies a 411% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Jean Lafitte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,066/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1807% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5WG1N50YZJDPQW
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29