4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,184 sqft ·
Built 1966
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$-294/mo
Annual
$-3,526/yr
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.42%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-294 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (23.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (28.5% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#81 in TX, #2,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Mount Pleasant ISD (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #291 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Child Development Center (452 students, 91% FRL); Mount Pleasant J H (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 760 students, 81% FRL); Mount Pleasant H S (math 68% / reading 54%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 1,521 students, 79% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Titus County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.1% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-5WTGFW2YAEDZ29
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29