🌊 Lakefront
514 County Road 1475 · Mount Pleasant, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
You won't want to miss out on this one! Enjoy the serenity of country living on over 2 acres with your own private pond. This charming home offers stunning water views and plenty of room to spread out both inside and out. Imagine mornings with coffee by the pond and evenings watching the sunset over the water. With space to roam and a peaceful setting, this property is perfect for those looking to escape the hustle while still being close to town.
Key facts
- 2.2 acre lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 2.2 acres
Exterior
- Home design: Single family detached residence; Single-story
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Waterfront lot; Private water body; Storage outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric oven; Electric range; Central heating and electric; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($116/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#81 in TX, #2,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Mount Pleasant ISD (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #291 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Child Development Center (452 students, 91% FRL); Mount Pleasant J H (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 760 students, 81% FRL); Mount Pleasant H S (math 68% / reading 54%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 1,521 students, 79% FRL).
- Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Titus County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.81%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,472
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-23,735
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75455
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,670 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $72 | +0% $10 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-122 | -5% $-56 | +0% $10 | +5% $76 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $55 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-37 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-10$179,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,041
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$1,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,603
- − Management
- −$1,603
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,872
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Pleasant ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831760
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,642
- Composite
- 37.35/100
- National rank
- #4437
- State rank
- #291 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mount Pleasant
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #81
- US rank
- #2808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Titus County · 26,903 people
- City population
- 26,903
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,903
- Household income
- $56,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 758.0
Population outlook (Titus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,205 people
- By 2030
- 33,187 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 32,931 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 32,231 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 29,507 · -11.1%
- By 2100
- 25,369 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 42% Two or more races 15% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Titus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.3% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+39.0 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.66%
- Current HPI
- 215.4205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GTAR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $179,900 GTAR
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2022): $304 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…