2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$959/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,370/yr
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.44%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Blount County (rural): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #52 of 139 in TN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 937 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blount County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 0.8% in Townsend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5WZ92X7K9K0QAY
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29