3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1902
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 305 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,101/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$380
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$396/mo
Annual
$4,750/yr
Cap rate
12.85%
Cash-on-cash
23.43%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$20,272
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 305 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($500 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#63 in IN, #4,186 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Davis Park Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #697 of 994 statewide, top 73%, 335 students, 88% FRL); Woodrow Wilson Middle School (math 21% / reading 31%, grade F, #240 of 330 statewide, top 73%, 701 students, 62% FRL); Terre Haute South Vigo High School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 1,610 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.6% in Terre Haute — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,101/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 1836% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 305 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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