1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
684 sqft ·
Built 1919
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,171/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$513
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$249/mo
Annual
$2,986/yr
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.90%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$27,387
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $676 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#471 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Mascoutah CUD 19 (town): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #80 of 620 in IL (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mascoutah High School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #73 of 693 statewide, top 11%, 1,227 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 16% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 7.3% of price; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.0% in Mascoutah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5XSPP0CJ6REZK4
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29