2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,208 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$775/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-50/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.22%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-50/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,178 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
New Boston ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #518 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 584 students, 82% FRL); New Boston Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #540 of 1,662 statewide, top 33%, 249 students, 81% FRL); New Boston H S (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 321 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 54% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5YS7R794ESKP4R
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29