2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Manufactured
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$159
Net cashflow
$335/mo
Annual
$4,021/yr
Cap rate
17.78%
Cash-on-cash
41.04%
DSCR
2.83
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($757 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: M Rivas Pri Discovery Academy (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 349 students, 93% FRL); Dora M Sauceda Middle (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 660 students, 100% FRL); Donna H S (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 2,095 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 48% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 87% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Dated and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— Worn and outdated
Major: interior paint
— Peeling and outdated
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and lack of curb appeal
CashFlowRE · CFR-5Z84S60SRKJHWH
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29