3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,138 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$558
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$839/mo
Annual
$10,066/yr
Cap rate
15.74%
Cash-on-cash
33.76%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$29,820
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $839 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $106k).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $736 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#173 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 4.1% in Port Wentworth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-60E4K0BT6XBBC2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29