2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,993/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,227
Tax + insurance
−$507
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-159/mo
Annual
$-1,911/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.92%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$65,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $234k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (12.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#301 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Carmody Hills Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 443 students, 72% FRL); G. James Gholson Middle (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #219 of 225 statewide, top 98%, 867 students, 91% FRL); Central High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #163 of 222 statewide, top 75%, 877 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $234k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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