4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,667 sqft ·
Built 1897
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,804/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,452
Tax + insurance
−$1,067
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,319
Net cashflow
$6,966/mo
Annual
$83,591/yr
Cap rate
16.14%
Cash-on-cash
35.16%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.86%
Cash to close
$237,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $849k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($84k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $849k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($836k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $836k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#98 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Stamford School District (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #103 of 153 in CT (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Newfield School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 553 statewide, top 65%, 525 students, 55% FRL); Stamford High School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade F, #98 of 194 statewide, top 51%, 2,048 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 23 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $410k; list at $849k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.0% in Stamford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-60STETFCEXXT43
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29