3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,989 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 323 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,231/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$916
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$-3,028/mo
Annual
$-36,334/yr
Cap rate
-0.31%
Cash-on-cash
-23.60%
DSCR
-0.05
1% rule
0.22%
Cash to close
$153,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (79.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (77.6% below list).
It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($484k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (79.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#140 in IA, #2,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Okoboji Community School District (town): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #40 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$95k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 80% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-61YBAB5JDWW8WG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29