244 Hwy 71 S Unit G45 · Arnolds Park, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$549,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Construction at Central Park Townhomes, located in the heart of Arnolds Park, across from the Amusement Park, offers a lot for everyone. Featuring and open luxurious designed floorplan, 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths over 1989 square feet these units are great for the whole family or as an investment property (Ask about Income Potential Today). Step outside and enjoy the day at the new 40' x 20' pool or walk across the street to all the action in Arnolds Park. As an added bonus ask about lake access for 2026 at Oak Hill Marina, space is limited so call today.
Key facts
- 40 x 20 pool
- New construction
- Open floorplan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (79.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (77.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (79.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#140 in IA, #2,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Okoboji Community School District (town): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #40 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$95k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($484k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 80% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.22% ✗
- Cap rate
- -0.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -23.60%
- DSCR
- -0.05
- GRM
- 37.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $592,743
- List price
- $549,900
- Delta
- -7.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Hwy 71 S Unit D19 | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 1mo | $590,000 | $297 | 99 |
| 244 Hwy 71 S #20 | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 2mo | $559,000 | $281 | 99 |
| 244 S Hwy 71 Unit F32 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 0mo | $559,000 | $281 | 98 |
| 244 S Hwy 71 Unit F31 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 3mo | $550,000 | $277 | 96 |
| 244 Hwy 71 S Unit D23 | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 8mo | $590,000 | $297 | 93 |
| 244 S Hwy 71 Unit F36 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 5mo | $539,000 | $271 | 93 |
| 228 Hwy 71 S Unit A1 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 9mo | $627,500 | $315 | 90 |
| 244 Hwy 71 S Unit E25 | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 14mo | $620,000 | $312 | 88 |
| 244 Hwy 71 S Unit E29 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 20mo | $605,000 | $304 | 82 |
| 244 Hwy 71 S Unit D24 | 0.05mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 20mo | $624,900 | $314 | 81 |
| 179 Hwy 71 S #4 | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 2,084 (+5%) | 4mo | $615,000 | $295 | 54 |
| 228 Hwy 71 S Unit D18 | 0.73mi | 3/3.5 | 1,989 (0%) | 20mo | $615,000 | $309 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $106,789
- Equity at exit
- $495,393
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $466,407
- Equity at exit
- $1,068,335
Cash invested: $153,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51331
- Home prices YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 37.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$687 /mo · $8,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $-3,028
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,475
- Closing costs
- $16,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $549,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $549,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $549,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $549,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $549,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $549,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $549,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2024-07-28$549,900 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
New Construction at Central Park Townhomes, located in the heart of Arnolds Park, across from the Amusement Park, offers a lot for everyone. Featuring and open luxurious designed floorplan, 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths over 1989 square feet these units are great for the whole family or as an investment property (Ask about Income Potential Today). Step outside and enjoy the day at the new 40' x 20' pool or walk across the street to all the action in Arnolds Park. As an added bonus ask about lake access for 2026 at Oak Hill Marina, space is limited so call today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,803
- − Property taxes
- −$8,248
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$15,997
- Taxable loss
- −$47,790
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,470
- After-tax cash flow
- $-24,864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okoboji Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1900021
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,522
- Composite
- 66.88/100
- National rank
- #403
- State rank
- #40 of 289 in IA
Livability — Arnolds Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #2548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arnolds Park, IA
- City population
- 920
- Population (ZIP)
- 920
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,133 people
- By 2030
- 18,610 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 19,456 · +7.3%
- By 2050
- 20,307 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 23,155 · +27.7%
- By 2100
- 24,449 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.5% · R 69.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.0 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.42%
- Current HPI
- 207.79
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2024-07-28 Listed $549,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…