3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,186 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$128/mo
Annual
$1,540/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.34%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (2.7% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#33 in SC, #4,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
Pickens 01 (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #21 of 80 in SC (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hagood Elementary (math 33% / reading 38%, grade F, #335 of 597 statewide, top 57%, 550 students, 82% FRL); Pickens Middle (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #101 of 229 statewide, top 44%, 546 students, 84% FRL); Pickens High (math 37% / reading 78%, grade C, #116 of 196 statewide, top 59%, 1,376 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 42% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1,440 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pickens County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 1.8% in Pickens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-61YRS0CB00WTPG
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29