3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,356 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$907
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$548
Net cashflow
$623/mo
Annual
$7,479/yr
Cap rate
10.62%
Cash-on-cash
15.45%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$48,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $173k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $173k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wallenpaupack South El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 255 students, 72% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Ms (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 644 students, 59% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Hs (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #48 of 437 statewide, top 11%, 990 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 556 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $173k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.7% in Hemlock Farms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— No photos of kitchen
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated and worn
Major: Paint
— Peeling and uneven
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
CashFlowRE · CFR-62BA0B3QQ2YZJ6
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29