101 Bluestone Dr · Hemlock Farms, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity for investors, contractors, or buyers with vision! This 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath ranch home in Hemlock Farms offers convenient on-level living with a practical layout and sunroom addition. Being sold as-is, this property offers great potential and is located on a flat corner lot, centrally located to the outdoor pool, clubhouse, and beach - ideal for a full-time residence, vacation getaway, or investment property.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Sunroom addition
- On level living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Hemlock Farms subdivision
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee of $2,995 (about $249.58/month); Association covers security, trash, snow removal; Community amenities: pool, indoor pool, clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, basketball court, playground, park, trails, picnic area, game room, billiard room, party room, beach access/rights, beach, dog park, exercise course, golf course, fishing
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family manufactured house; One level; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Built as a house/manufactured house
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Wooded lot; Level lot; Private maintained paved road; Private road frontage; Community lake view; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Propane heating; Electric heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Crawl space basement; Has view
- Laundry & utility: Hall laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 7.1% in Hemlock Farms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $185k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.63%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,252
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Bluestone Ct N Unit 800 Bluestone Court North | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (-11%) | 1mo | $276,000 | $230 | 75 |
| 109 Bluestone Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+11%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 304 Forest Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-1%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $208 | 68 |
| 103 Blue Shelf Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+5%) | 12mo | $311,000 | $218 | 67 |
| 801 Granite Ct S | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-4%) | 4mo | $283,000 | $217 | 66 |
| 123 Basswood Ln E | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-3%) | 8mo | $512,500 | $388 | 64 |
| 101 Ridgeway Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+5%) | 6mo | $292,500 | $206 | 63 |
| 809 Boulder Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+13%) | 3mo | $620,000 | $404 | 63 |
| 105 Tupelo Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-10%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $296 | 62 |
| 111 Blueridge Ln | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-13%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 304 Forest Drive Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-1%) | 11mo | $181,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 101 Tupelo Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+13%) | 11mo | $333,000 | $217 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $187,051
- Equity at exit
- $166,573
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.34×
- Total profit
- $483,567
- Equity at exit
- $359,220
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18428
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,688 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$774
- Net cashflow
- $1,352
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,457 | -5% $1,404 | +0% $1,352 | +5% $1,300 | +10% $1,247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,061 | -5% $1,206 | +0% $1,352 | +5% $1,498 | +10% $1,644 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,445 | -0.5pp $1,399 | base $1,352 | +0.5pp $1,304 | +1.0pp $1,256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 Hickory Ct Hawley, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 313 Forest Dr Blooming Grove, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $5,000 | $4.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $4,400 | $2.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $184,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $184,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $184,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$184,900 Active
-
1996-10-31soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,510 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,716 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$206/yr (+$17/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$2,510
- − Insurance
- −$1,591
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,540
- − Management
- −$3,540
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable income
- $14,338
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hemlock Farms
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #884
- US rank
- #9421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemlock Farms, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,446
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.60%
- Current HPI
- 340.8254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+131.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $184,900 PWMLS
- 1996-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,510 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…