3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,170 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,741/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,217
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-121/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$64,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $232k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-121/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (25.0% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#166 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Side Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 508 students, 73% FRL); Lakeview Middle School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 690 students, 67% FRL); Lakeview-Fort Oglethorpe High School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #258 of 424 statewide, top 62%, 1,023 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 41% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Catoosa County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $232k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Fort Oglethorpe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-63CP5NFE71GQ62
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29