412 S 11th St

Clinton, OK 73601

$119,000D+

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Active · 539 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,105/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$624
• Tax + insurance: −$89
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$232
• Net cashflow: $160/mo
• Annual: $1,921/yr
• Cap rate: 7.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.76%
• DSCR: 1.26
• 1% rule: 0.93%
• Cash to close: $33,320

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (7.2% below list).
• It's been on market 539 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Southwest Es (math 20% / reading 14%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 629 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $119k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.1% in Clinton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 539 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.