1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
872 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Active
· 174 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,115/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$394
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,179/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.12%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $199k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (7.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, crime F, amenities F.
Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sovereign Avenue School (math 16% / reading 34%, grade F, #862 of 1,303 statewide, top 67%, 698 students, 91% FRL); Atlantic City High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #346 of 399 statewide, top 88%, 1,764 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 86% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,115/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated design
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— dated design
Minor: kitchen appliances
— functional but dated
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